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How to predict the future
Sponsor Keep Going
“When you're going through hell, keep going." This podcast is about failure and how it breeds success. Every week, we talk to remarkable people who have accomplished great things but have also faced failure along the way. By exploring their experiences, we can learn how to build, succeed, and stay humble.
We are actively looking for sponsors. If you’d like to reach over 200,000 readers monthly, Keep Going is the perfect opportunity. Check out our one-pager here.
If you’d like to appear on either show, email john@biggs.cc.
How to predict the future
Daniel Burrus has spent decades talking about the future, but the most useful thing he said on Keep Going had nothing to do with AI or technology. It had to do with regret.
Before he built six companies, before the bestselling books and the keynote stages, he was teaching biology and physics. He had an idea for an airplane design and wanted to turn it into a business. The problem was simple. He had never taken a business class in his life. He was scared of failing.
But he realized something else scared him more. He did not want to become an old man who never tried. The fear of regret outweighed the fear of failure.
That idea sits underneath almost everything he talks about now. Most people think entrepreneurs are fearless. They are not. They are just more afraid of standing still than moving forward.
Burrus also said something I had never heard framed quite this way before. He said entrepreneurs usually have success metrics but almost never have failure metrics.
He gave the example of hiring someone you know is not right for the role. Deep down you know it after a week, but you spend months trying to fix it before finally letting them go. You already saw the failure coming. You just delayed acting on it.
That applies to almost everything. Businesses. Projects. Careers. Relationships. We hold onto broken things because motion feels harder than denial.
A lot of the conversation focused on AI, which Burrus sees less as a replacement for people and more as an amplifier. He argued that companies are making a mistake by focusing only on the tools. First comes mindset, then skillset, then toolset. Most firms skip directly to the software and never rethink how they actually work.
He also pushed back on the panic around AI replacing everyone. His point was simple. Jobs have always changed. The danger is not the technology itself. The danger is pretending your current role will stay frozen forever.
One line stuck with me. “You can only coast downhill.”
That feels true right now. A lot of people are waiting for stability to return before they adapt. But the stable version of the world they remember is probably not coming back. The people who do well over the next decade will likely be the ones willing to relearn things while everyone else argues online about whether change should exist at all.
Burrus is relentlessly optimistic, sometimes almost aggressively so. Normally that kind of thing annoys me. But his optimism is grounded in systems and patterns, not motivational slogans. He studies technology, demographics, and behavior and asks what becomes inevitable once those things start moving together.
His broader point was that most people underestimate the future because they spend too much time staring at the present. Burrus is a unique thinker in that he sees where the puck has gone and where it is going… years and years into the future.
You can check out his books here and hire him at his website.
You’re currently a free subscriber to Keep Going - A Guide to Unlocking Success. For the full experience, upgrade your subscription.
If you’ve been reading or listening to Keep Going for free, you’ve already seen the value of having independent work that isn’t shaped by corporate sponsors or the news cycle’s noise. But independence has a cost. If you find something useful here, if these words make you pause or think, I’m asking you to step up. A few dollars each month means I can keep doing this work without compromise. Without your support, this project stays fragile, balanced on the backs of a few.
© 2026 John Biggs
548 Market Street PMB 72296, San Francisco, CA 94104
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